Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 6.525664 7.605474 8.772849 10.124368 11.641489 13.287416 15.203491
2026-01-04 5.101151 6.545210 8.226443 10.311484 12.809822 15.688590 19.236679
2026-01-11 4.183720 5.788309 7.766291 10.349288 13.595465 17.500207 22.508374
2026-01-18 3.397248 5.032341 7.153479 10.051177 13.844533 18.575147 24.845499
2026-01-25 2.823336 4.453771 6.669378 9.820309 14.095230 19.594793 27.091047
2026-02-01 2.358939 3.952573 6.215521 9.556408 14.239695 20.436025 29.095086
2026-02-08 1.989090 3.532864 5.818993 9.314657 14.365277 21.220875 31.019089
2026-02-15 1.668890 3.141785 5.415215 9.011952 14.361129 21.799872 32.657674
2026-02-22 1.486250 2.944683 5.278264 9.079366 14.872274 23.092623 35.302183
2026-03-01 1.322441 2.755749 5.131184 9.110699 15.318288 24.296723 37.851537
2026-03-08 1.188683 2.600471 5.020040 9.182131 15.816729 25.583185 40.549624
2026-03-15 1.060746 2.437689 4.878179 9.187554 16.204185 26.710985 43.045486
2026-03-22 0.986178 2.368560 4.892854 9.453672 17.017762 28.512288 46.604060
2026-03-29 0.905764 2.276829 4.857998 9.631082 17.694703 30.129099 49.940327
2026-04-05 0.815200 2.150917 4.747621 9.666847 18.137084 31.395778 52.784157
2026-04-12 0.696918 1.947045 4.470179 9.384947 18.033249 31.802247 54.325968
2026-04-19 0.601384 1.777662 4.240075 9.166691 18.016797 32.334433 56.064110
2026-04-26 0.515185 1.614781 4.004582 8.917272 17.926936 32.736451 57.600668
2026-05-03 0.442146 1.470448 3.790504 8.688851 17.855331 33.156271 59.166782
2026-05-10 0.374055 1.325210 3.557447 8.402924 17.660585 33.358250 60.381580
2026-05-17 0.340080 1.265524 3.504097 8.466592 18.096776 34.618490 63.327652
2026-05-24 0.307227 1.202775 3.436981 8.496186 18.468701 35.778634 66.137894
2026-05-31 0.280036 1.151426 3.390488 8.563658 18.911524 37.069757 69.192656